A new research concludes the huge explosion that produced an enormous fireball over the Tunguska region in Siberia might have been caused by a relatively small asteroid.
New supercomputer models of the event show that the devastation may have been the result of a surprisingly small asteroid that never hit the ground.
Because smaller asteroids approach Earth's orbit more often than larger ones, the discovery could also mean that Earth is at increased risk of asteroid impacts.
"I'm not sure it puts it into a whole new class of risk," said study author Mark Boslough, a physicist at Sandia National Nuclear Security Administration laboratory in Albuquerque, New Mexico.
"But there's so much uncertainty in terms of knowing if there's one million or ten million of these things out there of a given size in Earth-crossing orbits."
The Tunguska explosion had previously been estimated at 10 to 20 megatons, but Boslough suggests it was three to five megatons—still hundreds of times as powerful as the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima in 1945.
The incoming asteroid, moving at some 40 to 60 times the speed of sound, had roughly the same mass as a solid rock the size of the White House, the new study found.