The Tech Report writes EA anticipates that for the current fiscal year, digital distribution will account for 40 percent of its projected $4.3 billion revenue:
Valve is a privately held company, so it's under no obligation to share financial details with the public. As a result, we don't have a perfectly clear picture of just how much of the PC gaming market has been gobbled up by Steam—or downloadable games in general. The market for digitally acquired titles is certainly growing, though. EA's digital revenue was up 55% last quarter. For the current fiscal year, EA expects downloads to make up 40% of its projected $4.3 billion revenue.
In an interview with Reuters, COO Peter Moore says EA isn't far away from shipping more downloadable games than retail-boxed copies. The firm's digital sales could outstrip those of physical copies in a few years.