Gartner analysts
expect the launch of Windows 7 will not save falling PC sales:
Despite the surge in pre-sales and the overabundance of praised showered on Windows 7, Gartner Research says that worldwide shipments of PCs will continue on its downward spiral for at least the next two quarters. According to Gartner, an estimated 274 million PCs will ship worldwide during 2009 which would be a 6 percent drop from the 292 million PCs shipped in 2008.
"Although the buzz surrounding Windows 7 has generally been quite positive, we don't expect the market to significantly deviate from its normal seasonal trends in reaction to its release," said Gartner research director George Shiffler. "Unless Microsoft mounts a major marketing campaign in support of Windows 7, we think consumers will simply adopt the new operating system (OS) as they would normally buy new PCs and/or replace old ones."
It's priced too high (though the discount available now is a good start on "real" pricing). And worse, the disastrous "Ultimate" version of Vista has only Ultimate as it's upgrade path, without a full reinstall which is insane. Ok product, horribly arrogant pricing, and poor packaging (package choices and upgrade paths) are going to kill this thing. Moreover the "backup" feature is now gone from the Home Premium version, the exact folks who NEED easy ways to keep backups because they almost never do, but should. MS falls on its face again...
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