Research firm Gartner has little hope for a speedy recovery of electronics and semiconductor markets. The PC market is expected to reach a bottom in the second half of 2009, and cell phones are believed to be one of the first sectors to show sustainable recovery, but this isn't expected before the second quarter of 2010. There's even a risk of a W-shaped recovery, if this occurs there won't be sustainable growth until 2011.
Although the PC market is already reaching the bottom of its growth pattern, the majority of electronics segments will not reach bottom until the second half of 2009, according to Gartner's analysis. Until then, uncertainty will remain high and visibility low, according to the firm.
The first signs of growth will be led by seasonal buying patterns in the PC market during the final quarter of 2009, while other sectors will not begin to show growth until 2010. Gartner predicted.
Gartner analysts forecast that the first sector to show sustainable recovery would be mobile phones, beginning in the second quarter of 2010.